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to blog. So here is my take on the 2008 GOP Primary:
- Bill Frist: Photogenic top contendor. Solid ratings from pro-life and tax groups, high visibility, not a lawyer, and from the South. As NRSC chair regained the Republican majority and made a lot of good fundraising contacts. Not running for re-election. On the down side he's not the best of Senate operators (e.g. can't stop a filibuster), has a relatively long Senate record, in favor of adult stem cell research (I think).
- George Allen: Photogenic no. 2. Like Frist has solid ratings from special interest groups, is even a touch more conservative, and is from the South. As NRSC chair put in an even better performance than Frist. Has executive experience and a shorter Senate record. Down side: plans on re-election campaign, low visibility.
- Rudy Giuliani: Extremely popular 9/11 image. Polling well in head to head match-ups. Gets good marks on national security issues and until recently was on Bush's good side. Downside: outside of security issues the guy is a liberal, may have peaked in popularity, no federal or even state level experience.
- George Pataki: See above except remove the "popular" and "polling well".
- John McCain: If at first you don't succeed, try, try again. While telegenic he doesn't get good ratings from special interests. While he polled the second best among Republicans on Election Day he's since blown his good association with Bush. He may get a lot of free press, and could perhaps create a core of McCainiacs.
- Jeb Bush: Can the American people really tolerate a dynasty? He's said he doesn't want to run anyway
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